Wednesday, June 8, 2011

Kansas

We have our first competition winner with the conclusion of the Yahoo spring season: napolean beat RMO by 68 points, or by 5.7 points at each spring race.

Weird weekend for RMFN - just one 300+ score (congrats GOOD TO GO) and no scores below 200. And that's not to say the scores were terrible - the 254 average was seventh best for the season thus far.

OVERALL
RMO reclaimed the lead but the group of teams challenging grew. Expect some shuffling this week with the start of the summer season.

CHASE
napolean leads the Chase qualifiers, which now number 30.

ELIMINATIONS/HEATS
Kansas marked the first race of rounds in this competition. Not much to report.

WORLD CUP
Each team has played four matches through three races in the Champion Qualifying. Only two undefeated teams remain: napolean (4-0-0 in the Earnhardt group) and Betty Boop Madness (3-0-1, Yarborough). I added an Average figure at the bottom of each of the group standings to give us an idea of each group's strength - higher average, tougher group.

HEAD TO HEAD
I updated the results through Kansas and fixed some bugs. The teams that left the competition will play fewer games because matchups between those teams aren't counted. Everyone else has played 28 games. RMO and napolean lead with 22-6-0 records.



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Saturday, June 4, 2011

Charlotte

Enjoy.

UPDATED BELOW

OVERALL
Predicted shuffles took place with the eliminations, and we have a new leader - katie's bootleggers. RMO Lug Nutz and Team Lester are right there, as well. If the Head-to-Head sticks around, these standings are legit; if not, it could change again (see below).

CHASE
We're down to 28 eligible drivers through Charlotte (though that could increase but unlikely). Note the Pre Chase Wins column - only two winners are currently outside the bubble. Win and you're probably in.

SINGLE ELIM BRACKET
Tough luck award to Rolling Thunder, which lost by three points to smokeum, the lowest remaining seed at No. 43. CLOWN CAR also suffered a 14-point defeat. Lower seeds won eight of the 16 matchups; katie's and RMO are on opposite sides of the bracket. The third round is also six races and concludes at Kentucky.

DOUBLE ELIM BRACKET
RMO, napolean, katie's and Team Lester highlight the teams advacing in the winners' bracket. No. 46 Loose Lugnuts recorded another upset, topping No. 12 Dirt Track OUTLAW by eight points. No. 4 Cooter is next. Lester and katie meet in the fourth round and are on the opposite side of the bracket from napolean and RMO, which could meet in the sixth round (winners' bracket has a by round in the fifth round).
No. 1 BLOWINSMOKE and No. 4 CLOWN CAR were eliminated in the third round.

SINGLE ELIM HEAT
BLOWINSMOKE stayed alive here, claiming the final advacing spot by five points over Shamrock Racing. Seven of the 16 teams in the third round entered the competition with top-10 seeds. No. 2 CLOWN CAR was the highest seed eliminated in round two.

DOUBLE ELIM HEAT
And some intrigue... katie's advanced in the winners' heat, while RMO shifted to the losers' heat with Team Lester. Oval Cowboys took the final advancing spot in the losers' heat by 12 points over Texas SpeedReavers; #3 Intimidator stayed in the winners' heat by four points over Little Deuce Coupe and six points over Dirt Track OUTLAW. The fourth round runs through race 15 at Michigan.

WORLD CUP
Every team has played three matches in the Champion Qualifying group stage. Your undefeated (3-0-0 unless noted) teams with seven races to go: napolean (Earnhardt group), Little Deuce Coupe (Petty), Jr. Nation (Gordon), Damn Sunday Drivers (Pearson), Betty Boop Madness (2-0-1; Yarborough), RYAN'S FAST (Allison), and Swindell Motorsports (Johnson).
Note that there are some Overall leaders missing from that list. This competition will also dent, cement or secure someone's Overall title chances.

HEAD-TO-HEAD
The time to update this competition throughout the season hasn't come and the templates for it need some work (note that some teams have played fewer games than others; it's not supposed to work that way...). I'll try to keep it going, but do not be surprised if I fall behind a week or two on it to update scores and standings. At some point, there is also the possibility I'll take the competition out of this year's RMFN - hoping not to but ...
RMO leads with a salty 20-4-0 mark, followed by napolean (19-4-0) and katie's (18-5-1).


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Friday, May 27, 2011

Dover

Not much new to report. Big week at Charlotte for some competitions - eliminations pending.


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Friday, May 13, 2011

World Cup - Round 2

I've posted this before here, but the WC is my favorite RMFN competition. The unpredictability of the matchups and results makes for a fascinating game.

I've set the parameters for the group placement and advancement prior to the season, so the oddities that follow are a result of how we - as a group - have played the 2011 season so far.

Only one of the 10 groups didn't need a tie-breaker to determine final standings from the first round. The details of how those ties were broken can be found in the black bars beneath each group's final standings on the 'World Cup Rd 1' page of the spreadsheet.

We started the season short two teams and lost two more late in the first round. As a result the top two fourth-place finishers were determined only by average points scored in the WC. Dirty Drivers left in Week 10 of the season, but had already completed - and was eliminated from - the WC. No harm, no foul, no RMFN invite for 2012.

A quick note on the average points column - those are averages for points scored during races scored in the WC. Each team had two 'bye weeks' during the first round. So...while a team may be higher in the Yahoo standings (and therefore have a higher overall average points scored per race), that team's average could be significantly adjusted if its best scores were in WC bye weeks.

The seeds and groups for the next round are broken down on the 'World Cup Seeds' page.

A statistical preview of the next round, dubbed the Champions Qualifying, is on the 'WC Group Ratings' page. Here you'll find columns breaking down the teams' seeds entering the 2011 season, their Overall standing entering Darlington, their Yahoo standing entering Darlington and a composite total of those figures.

Why is this cool? Our overall leader, RMO Lug Nuts, and the team trailing it in the Yahoo standings, napolean, are in the two most difficult groups (on paper). napolean suffered an early RMFN Overall setback by losing a head-to-head matchup against RMO in the RMFN Single Elimination Bracket.

If RMO is eliminated here and napolean advances in this round of the WC, the Overall title is back up for grabs. If both bow out, we have the virtual version of the Big One in the RMFN standings.

napolean has another RMFN Overall top 10 team in its group; RMO has two.

Finally, the cherry on top - the two paperweight-heavy groups were slugged the Waltrip and Earnhardt groups.

How fitting.

Monday, May 9, 2011

Darlington

A breakdown of the World Cup advancers/eliminations will be posted later this week.



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Sunday, May 1, 2011

Richmond

Jr. Nation's 347 was the top RMFN score at Richmond, one of 12 scores above 300. Average RMFN score was 286, down about 10 points from last week. RMFN's string of limited sub-200 scores continued with just three at Richmond. To illustrate the turnaround:
First three races - 5 300+ scores, 41 sub-200 scores
Six races since - 96 300 + scores, 11 sub-200 scores

DEPARTURES NOTE: I adjusted the prior scores for Yduck and Buford's Boyz to 0s, which changed results in the World Cup, Head to Head and Single Elim Heat competitions. Two teams that were formerly eliminated are now still alive in the SEH. The WC and HtH are still in the middle of their rounds and were affected.


OVERALL
I added some color bars to help differentiate some groups based on average finishes. The top group has the best shot at the overall title. The number of members in those groups will decrease as we eliminate more teams from competitions.


CHASE
The string of 300 scores by RMO Lug Nutz and napolean has put pressure on the rest of the RMFN field to keep pace. Just 9 races into the season and only 23 teams are currently eligible for the Chase.


WORLD CUP
As noted above, the score changes did shift some things in the group standings. The final race of the Track Qualifying round is at Darlington - if you're racing, bring your best.
Ties within groups will be decided by:
1. Points
2. Head to head
3. Record vs. other group teams, top to bottom
4. Points average
5. Points average in head to head matchups
6. Points average against other group teams, top to bottom.
The top two fourth-place teams will be determined solely by average score in the WC. The seeding for the first- through third-place teams will be by WC points and then WC average.
The 'World Cup Seeds' page outlines what the next round's pairings would look like if the Champion Qualifying started at Darlington.


SINGLE ELIM BRACKET
We're halfway through the second round; eight of the matchups carry margins of fewer than 100 points into Darlington.


SINGLE ELIM HEAT
We shuffled Yduck and Buford's out of the second round and added the top two teams eliminated in the first round. Round two is halfway complete; the 900+ scores appear to be on solid ground right now.


HEAD TO HEAD
The records shuffled a little bit with the no scores for Yduck and Buford's from earlier this season. RMO and napolean are still leading the standings.


DOUBLE ELIM BRACKET/HEAT
Richmond marked the first race of the third round; three races to go.


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